kleines modernes wohnzimmer

i've been at mit for 44 years. i went to ted i. there's only one other person here,i think, who did that. all the other teds -- and i went to them all,under ricky's regime -- i talked aboutwhat the media lab was doing, which today has almost 500 people in it. and if you read the press, last week it actually saidi quit the media lab.

i didn't quit the media lab,i stepped down as chairman -- which was a kind of ridiculous title,but someone else has taken it on -- and one of the thingsyou can do as a professor is you stay on as a professor. and i will now do for the rest of my lifethe one laptop per child, which i've sort of been doingfor a year and a half, anyway. so i'm going to tell you about this, use my 18 minutesto tell you why we're doing it, how we're doing itand then what we're doing.

and at some point i'll even pass around what the $100 laptop might be like. i was asked by christo talk about some of the big issues, and so i figured i'd start with the threethat at least drove me to do this. and the first is pretty obvious. it's amazing when you meeta head of state, and you say, "what is your most preciousnatural resource?" they will not say "children" at first, and then when you say, "children,"they will pretty quickly agree with you.

and so that isn't very hard. (laughter) everybody agrees that whateverthe solutions are to the big problems, they include education,sometimes can be just education and can never be withoutsome element of education. so that's certainly part of it. and the thirdis a little bit less obvious. and that is that we all in this roomlearned how to walk, how to talk, not by being taught how to talk,or taught how to walk,

but by interacting with the world, by having certain results as a consequenceof being able to ask for something, or being able to stand up and reach it. whereas at about the age six,we were told to stop learning that way, and that all learning from then onwould happen through teaching, whether it's people standing up,like i'm doing now, or a book, or something. but it was really through teaching. and one of the things in generalthat computers have provided to learning

is that it now includes a kind of learning which is a little bit morelike walking and talking, in the sense that a lot of it is drivenby the learner himself or herself. so with those as the principles -- some of you may know seymour papert. this is back in 1982,when we were working in senegal. because some people think thatthe $100 laptop just happened a year ago, or two years ago,or we were struck by lightning -- this actually has gone back a long time,and in fact, back to the '60s.

here we're in the '80s. steve jobs had given us some laptops.we were in senegal. it didn't scale but it at least was bringing computersto developing countries and learning pretty quicklythat these kids, even though english wasn't their language, the latin alphabetbarely was their language, but they could just swim like fish. they could play these like pianos.

a little bit more recently,i got involved personally. and these are two anecdotes -- one was in cambodia, in a village that has no electricity,no water, no television, no telephone, but has broadband internet now. and these kids,their first english word is "google" and they only know skype. they've never heard of telephony. they just use skype.

and they go home at night -- they've got a broadband connectionin a hut that doesn't have electricity. the parents love it,because when they open up the laptops, it's the brightest light sourcein the house. and talk aboutwhere metaphors and reality mix -- this is the actual school. in parallel with this,seymour papert got the governor of maine to legislate one laptop per childin the year 2002. now at the time, i think it's fair to saythat 80 percent of the teachers were --

let me say, apprehensive. really, they were actually against it. and they really preferredthat the money would be used for higher salaries,more schools, whatever. and now, three and a halfyears later, guess what? they're reporting five things:drop of truancy to almost zero, attending parent-teacher meetings -- which nobody didand now almost everybody does -- drop in discipline problems,increase in student participation.

teachers are now sayingit's kind of fun to teach. kids are engaged -- they have laptops! -- and then the fifth,which interests me the most, is that the servers have to be turned offat certain times at night because the teachersare getting too much email from the kids asking them for help. so when you see that kind of thing -- this is not somethingthat you have to test. the days of pilot projects are over,when people say,

"we'd like to do three or four thousandin our country to see how it works." screw you. go to the back of the lineand someone else will do it, and then when you figure outthat this works, you can join as well. and this is what we're doing. (laughter) (applause) so, one laptop per childwas formed about a year and a half ago. it's a nonprofit association. it raised about 20 million dollars to do the engineeringto just get this built,

and then have it produced afterwards. scale is truly important. and it's not important because you canbuy components at a lower price, ok? it's because you can goto a manufacturer -- and i will leave the name out -- but we wanted a small display, doesn't have to haveperfect color uniformity. it can even have a pixel or two missing. it doesn't have to be that bright.

and this particular manufacturer said, "we're not interested in that.we're interested in the living room. we're interestedin perfect color uniformity. we're interested in big displays,bright displays. you're not part of our strategic plan." and i said, "that's kind of too bad,because we need 100 million units a year." and they said, "oh, well, maybe we couldbecome part of your strategic plan." and that's why scale counts. and that's why we will not launch this

without five to 10 million unitsin the first run. and the idea isto launch with enough scale that the scale itselfhelps bring the price down, and that's why i saidseven to 10 million there. and we're doing itwithout a sales-and-marketing team. i mean, you're lookingat the sales-and-marketing team. we will do it by goingto seven large countries and getting them to agree and launch it, and then the others can follow.

we have partners. it's not hard to guessgoogle would be one. the others are all playing to pending. and this has beenin the press a great deal. it's the so-called green machinethat we introduced with kofi annan in november at the world summitthat was held in tunisia. now once people start looking at this,they say, "ah, this is a laptop project." well, no, it's not a laptop project.it's an education project. and the fun part --and i'm quite focused on it --

i tell people i used to be a light bulb,but now i'm a laser -- i'm just going to get that thing built,and it turns out it's not so hard. because laptop economicsare the following: i say 50 percent here --it's more like 60, 60 percent of the cost of your laptop is sales, marketing,distribution and profit. now we have none of those, ok? none of those figure into our cost, because first of all, we sell it at cost,and the governments distribute it.

it gets distributedto the school system like a textbook. so that piece disappears. then you have display and everything else. now the display on your laptop costs, in rough numbers,10 dollars a diagonal inch. that can drop to eight;it can drop to seven but it's not going to drop to two,or to one and a half, unless we do some pretty clever things. it's the rest -- that little brown box --that is pretty fascinating,

because the rest of your laptopis devoted to itself. it's a little bit like an obese person having to use most of their energyto move their obesity. and we have a situation todaywhich is incredible. i've been using laptopssince their inception. and my laptop runs slower,less reliably and less pleasantly than it ever has before. and this year is worse. (applause)

people clap, sometimesyou even get standing ovations, and i say, "what the hell's wrongwith you? why are we all sitting there?" and somebody -- to remain nameless --called our laptop a "gadget" recently. and i said, "god, our laptop's going to golike a bat out of hell. when you open it up,it's going to go 'bing.'" it'll be on. it'll be just like it was in 1985, when you bought an apple macintosh 512. it worked really well.

and we've been going steadily downhill. now, people ask all the time what it is. that's what it is. the two pieces that are probably notable:it'll be a mesh network, so when the kids open up their laptops,they all become a network, and then just needone or two points of backhaul. you can serve a couple of thousand kidswith two megabits. so you really can bring into a village, and then the villagescan connect themselves,

and you really can do it quite well. the dual mode display -- the idea is to have a displaythat both works outdoors -- isn't it fun using your cell phoneoutdoors in the sunlight? well, you can't see it. and one of the reasons you can't see it is because it's backlightingmost of the time, most cell phones. now, what we're doing is, we're doing onethat will be both frontlit and backlit. and whether you manually switch itor you do it in the software

is to be seen. but when it's backlit, it's color. and when it's frontlit,it's black and white at three times the resolution. is it all worked out? no. that's why a lot of our people aremore or less living in taiwan right now. and in about 30 days,we'll know for sure whether this works. probably the most important piece there is that the kidsreally can do the maintenance.

and this is again somethingthat people don't believe, but i really think it's quite true. that's the machine we showed in tunis. this is more the directionthat we're going to go. and it's somethingthat we didn't think was possible. now, i'm going to pass this around. this isn't a design, ok? so this is just a mechanicalengineering sort of embodiment of it for you to play with.

and it's clearly just a model. the working one is at mit. i'm going to pass itto this handsome gentleman. at least you can decidewhether it goes left or -- chris anderson: before you do it,for the people down in simulcast -- nicholas negroponte: sorry! i forgot.ca: just show it off a bit. so wherever the camera is --ok, good point. thank you, chris. the idea was thatit would be not only a laptop, but that it could transforminto an electronic book.

so it's sort of an electronic book. this is where when you go outside,it's in black and white. the games buttons are missing, but it'll also be a games machine, book machine. set it up this way,and it's a television set. etc., etc. -- is that enoughfor simulcast? ok, sorry. i'll let jim decidewhich way to send it afterwards. ok. seven countries.

i say "maybe" for massachusetts,because they actually have to do a bid. by law you've got to bid,and so on and so forth. so i can't quite name them. in the other cases,they don't have to do bids. they can decide -- it's the federal government in each case. it's kind of agonizing, because a lot of people say,"let's do it at the state level," because states are more nimblethan the feds, just because of size.

and yet we count. we're really dealingwith the federal government. we're really dealingwith ministries of education. and if you look at governmentsaround the world, ministries of educationtend to be the most conservative, and also the ones that have huge payrolls. everybody thinksthey know about education, a lot of culture is built into it as well. it's really hard.and so it's certainly the hard road.

if you look at the countries,they're pretty geoculturally distributed. have they all agreed? no, not completely. probably thailand, brazil and nigeria are the three that arethe most active and most agreed. we're purposelynot signing anything with anybody until we actually have the working ones. and since i visiteach one of those countries within at least every three months, i'm just going around the worldevery three weeks.

here's sort of the schedule and i put at the bottom we might give someaway free in two years at this meeting. everybody says it's a $100 laptop -- you can't do it. well, guess what, we're not. we're coming in probably at 135,to start, then drift down. and that's very important, because so many things hit the marketat a price and then drift up. it's kind of the loss leader,

and then as soon as it looks interesting, it can't be afforded,or it can't be scaled out. so we're targeting 50 dollars in 2010. the gray market's a big issue. and one of the ways -- just one -- but one of the ways to helpin the case of the gray market is to make somethingthat is so utterly unique -- it's a little bit like the factthat automobiles -- thousands of automobilesare stolen every day in the united states.

not one singlepost-office truck is stolen. and why? because there's no marketfor post-office trucks. it looks like a post-office truck. you can spray paint it.you can do anything you want. i just learned recently: in south africa,no white volvos are stolen. period. none. zero. so we want to make itvery much like a white volvo. each government has a task force.

this perhaps is less interesting, but we're trying to get the governmentsto all work together and it's not easy. the economics of thisis to start with the federal governments and then later,to subsequently go to other -- whether it's child-to-child funding, so a child in this country buys onefor a child in the developing world, maybe of the same gender,maybe of the same age. an uncle gives a niece or a nephew thatas a birthday present.

i mean, there are all sorts of thingsthat will happen, and they'll be very, very exciting. and everybody says -- i say --it's an education project. are we providing the software? the answer is: the system certainly has software, but no, we're not providingthe education content. that is really done in the countries. but we are certainly constructionists.

and we certainly believein learning by doing and everything from logo,which was started in 1968, to more modern things, like scratch,if you've ever even heard of it, are very, very much part of it. and that's the rollout. are we dreaming? is this real? it actually is real. the only criticism, and peoplereally don't want to criticize this, because it is a humanitarian effort,a nonprofit effort

and to criticize itis a little bit stupid, actually. but the one thingthat people could criticize was, "great idea, but these guys can't do it." and that could either mean these guys,professors and so on couldn't do it, or that it's not possible. well, on december 12, a companycalled quanta agreed to build it, and since they make about one-thirdof all the laptops on the planet today, that question disappeared. so it's not a matterof whether it's going to happen.

it is going to happen. and if it comes outat 138 dollars, so what? if it comes out six months late, so what? that's a pretty soft landing. thank you.

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